Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000958 0.001086 0.001221 0.001374 0.001542 0.001719 0.001921
2025-03-09 0.000728 0.000902 0.001098 0.001333 0.001606 0.001911 0.002276
2025-03-16 0.000602 0.000793 0.001018 0.001298 0.001636 0.002026 0.002507
2025-03-23 0.000520 0.000724 0.000973 0.001295 0.001695 0.002170 0.002771
2025-03-30 0.000458 0.000669 0.000937 0.001294 0.001750 0.002304 0.003020
2025-04-06 0.000402 0.000616 0.000897 0.001281 0.001785 0.002411 0.003235
2025-04-13 0.000351 0.000564 0.000852 0.001258 0.001802 0.002491 0.003415
2025-04-20 0.000324 0.000543 0.000846 0.001284 0.001882 0.002653 0.003700
2025-04-27 0.000298 0.000520 0.000836 0.001301 0.001949 0.002796 0.003964
2025-05-04 0.000267 0.000484 0.000805 0.001287 0.001972 0.002881 0.004151
2025-05-11 0.000236 0.000449 0.000770 0.001265 0.001980 0.002945 0.004311
2025-05-18 0.000219 0.000432 0.000761 0.001279 0.002040 0.003079 0.004565
2025-05-25 0.000201 0.000413 0.000749 0.001288 0.002092 0.003206 0.004815
2025-06-01 0.000176 0.000378 0.000709 0.001253 0.002080 0.003242 0.004943
2025-06-08 0.000153 0.000346 0.000671 0.001218 0.002065 0.003272 0.005060
2025-06-15 0.000139 0.000328 0.000655 0.001216 0.002097 0.003369 0.005272
2025-06-22 0.000127 0.000311 0.000640 0.001215 0.002131 0.003468 0.005488
2025-06-29 0.000114 0.000293 0.000620 0.001203 0.002147 0.003541 0.005667
2025-07-06 0.000101 0.000272 0.000594 0.001180 0.002145 0.003587 0.005807
2025-07-13 0.000096 0.000267 0.000597 0.001205 0.002219 0.003746 0.006113
2025-07-20 0.000090 0.000260 0.000594 0.001222 0.002278 0.003884 0.006391
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000244 0.000575 0.001208 0.002289 0.003949 0.006562
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000228 0.000553 0.001187 0.002285 0.003991 0.006700